Compulsory passage in the Middle East
by Khaled Ghannam
US President Donald Trump said that the policy of economic and political principles is over forever. We are now at the table of interests. Either you accept the deals offered to you or you leave the table forever.
The events in Syria overwhelmed the international news agencies, and it was no longer an issue of Ukraine, Gaza, Korea, Sudan, or other issues. Rather, the Arab satellite news channels, especially the Gulf and Lebanese ones, agreed for the first time to describe what is happening as a popular revolution and that its leader, Abu Muhammad al-Julani, who granted… He has special qualities, as if he were one of God’s righteous saints, and the elite imams, scholars, and mujahideen gathered around him.
In the military scene, we only witnessed an organized handover of military sites without any clash, as if the real deal had taken place between the leaders of the Syrian army and the governments of Turkey and Israel, with American sponsorship and Qatari funding, with Russian approval and Iranian acceptance of what we might call Syria at the bargaining table for a new phase for a Middle East that will be redrawn soon..
The American administration called on the concerned Arab countries to recognize the legitimacy of the transitional leadership in Syria, led by Dr. Ahmed Al-Sharaa, the most popular figure in the Arab region at the present time. He made important official statements about his political ideas, declaring his complete neutrality in foreign policy and that the Syrian people are tired of wars.
Therefore, his government will not interfere in the internal affairs of any Arab country, especially Lebanon. He also accepts the Kurdish community within the social, political, cultural and political fabric of Syria, but he rejects any foreign activities hostile to Turkey. Commenting on the Israeli army’s invasion of southern Syria, he will seek to solve this problem through political means and will not fight the Israeli army. . In addition, he does not see the time as appropriate to remove the American and Russian army camps or even liquidate the remnants of ISIS forces.
As for the Iranian forces and other Shiite militias, they withdrew from Syria before the beginning of the operation to deter aggression (rade’a al udwan), which was carried out by Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham in cooperation with Syrian armed factions and direct military coordination from the Turkish army, with support and support from the Israeli army. Certainly, a handover deal was concluded with senior leaders in the Syrian Arab Army and the Baath Party. The Arab Socialist Party, all security, military and political leaders left before the operation began.
Likewise, Syrian President Dr. Bashar al-Assad, who requested humanitarian asylum in the Republic of Russia, left his position, but he did not step down from his position. When Trump was asked what you will do with Bashar al-Assad, he said, “I have not thought about this matter yet.”
The scenes of the Syrian masses rejoicing at the end of the civil war left great emotional relief in the Arab countries and even in all countries of the world, especially the issue of liberating political detainees from torture prisons. Some were surprised by the ugliness of torture in Syrian prisons.
But no one can say that it is the most horrific before we see the prisons of the rest of the Arab and Islamic countries and Israel. Political detention is the greatest crime against freedom of expression of opinion, but we do not know a country in the entire Middle East that does not have political prisons, some of which may be more horrific than what we witnessed in In Syrian prisons.
This was followed by the formation of an interim Syrian government, most of which was formed by the Muslim Brotherhood or close to it. Prime Minister Muhammad al-Bashir, in his first speech, even quoted a quote by Sheikh Hassan al-Banna, the founder of the Muslim Brotherhood. Despite this, we found Russia to be the first to allow the flag of the Syrian revolution to be raised above the Syrian embassy building in Moscow.
We found European countries striving to find safe ways to deal with the Syrian interim government because they aspire to solve the refugee problems of Syrians in their country. This issue is perhaps the hottest in Syrian-European relations. As for Turkey, it adds, except for that matter, the issue of ending the presence of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party forces or an armed group working against Turkey.
As for other Arab countries that see that the change occurred very quickly and are unable to arrange work priorities, discussions are taking place between Arab countries and the Syrian interim government regarding the file of Syrian refugees in Arab countries and ways to return them without creating an economic crisis due to the withdrawal of Syrian funds or their property in those countries.
On the other hand, there is the file of non-Syrian militants in Syria, where some Arab countries are demanding that the Arab mujahideen be handed over to the country whose nationality they held and an end to the jihad file that calls for changing the rest of the ruling systems in the Arab and Islamic countries. Some countries are also calling for a clear position on the Muslim Brotherhood movement in Arab and Islamic countries.
The Muslim Brotherhood is widespread in most Arab and Islamic countries and has an internal and external communications network that makes the organization work in an orderly manner. In doing so, it follows the rules of the internal work of Arab nationalist parties derived from the idea of the Communist Party. Hence, it is difficult to assert that the Syrian interim government is capable of separating the Muslim Brotherhood organization in Syria from the international organization of the Muslim Brotherhood, and this is what worries the Arab countries.
On the other hand, there is a Qutbi approach (Sayyed Qutb theorm) within the Muslim Brotherhood that believes in the necessity of using weapons to change regimes of government, and Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham had that doctrine, but it does not intend to carry out any actions outside the Syrian borders at the present time.
Arab optimists call on Arab countries to take advantage of the opportunity to achieve peace and stability in Syria through political dialogue with the Syrian interim government and to place it in the embrace of peaceful Turkey and far from quarrelsome Iran. The main guarantor of what happened in Syria and that it is a good thing is the Turkish government. Which provided reassurances to all concerned parties, including the Arab countries, and that Turkish sponsorship will prevent any Iranian influence in Syria. This is the basic demand of the Israeli government, except that the American administration demands the signing of a peace treaty between Israel and Syria, ending the state of conflict, and beginning the process of building a new Syria.
As for the Arab pessimists, they do not believe that the calm will last long, as external parties will begin to finance internal fighting between the Syrian armed factions, with the necessity of keeping international forces in Syria: American forces to protect the Kurds and oil, Russian forces to protect the Alawites Mountain, a safe zone to protect the Turkish border, and a safe zone to protect the Israeli border. ISIS will work to facilitate the entry of Shiite forces into central Syria to control the city of Homs, all the way to AL -Qusayr, to maintain communication with Hezbollah in Lebanon for supply and support.
Returning to the concept of the deal according to US President Donald Trump, will the Syrian interim government accept to implement everything that is asked of it by the Americans, Turkey, Israel, Europe, Arabs and internally? Or will it procrastinate until insecure elections are imposed on it? Or might the Baath Party return to rule Syria again? There are no comfortable options for Syria because it is too big to digest and difficult to contain. Perhaps the Israeli occupation army’s strike on all Syrian military sites after the end of the operation to deter aggression was aimed at destroying Syrian military power, regardless of who rules Syria.
During the last period, we have witnessed a significant lag in crisis management in all Arab regions, and then technical lag behind the concepts of modern wars. The political leadership still believes that its opinion cannot be discussed or changed, and no consultations that do not support that opinion are heard.
Also, the concept of the popular incubator still means sacrifice in order to protect the political leadership that works to defend them, so they must stand and die in defense of the decisions of the political leadership, even though modern political science is based on material expediency and not on revolutionary slogans. No matter how correct the leadership is, it must know that The popular incubator has basic material requirements without which it cannot survive.
As for the use of artificial intelligence and computer science, it portends a grave danger, as most of the Arab talents work in the service of foreign institutions and are not absorbed into the leadership frameworks of the state, which means that we are fighting with very backward weapons, so our military loss is part of our civilizational backwardness due to mismanagement of human resources in all Arab countries.
